Riga FC II vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
10º
4º
65
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 0
OUD
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 10 | 61 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
VJK
61%
19%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
RIG
53%
20%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
RIG
15%
17%
69%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
RIG
0 - 3
HJP
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SUP
5 - 0
RFA
73%
16%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 2
SUP
70%
16%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SUP
0 - 2
LEV
26%
22%
53%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 5
NOM
7%
11%
82%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 1
SUP
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |