Riga FC II vs Leevon PPK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
14º
10º
21
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 52 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 43 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 19 |
14º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIG
18%
23%
60%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 1
SKA
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 3
RFA
73%
16%
10%
|
71 | 28 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
ALB
4 - 0
RIG
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
RIG
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Leevon PPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 4
ALB
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SMI
0 - 4
FSL
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 1
FSL
17%
19%
64%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FSL
1 - 1
AUG
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |