1. Liga Round 17

Riga FC II vs JDFS Alberts analysis

Riga FC II JDFS Alberts
71 ELO 68
18.6% Tilt 16.2%
1482º General ELO ranking 1931º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50%
Riga FC II
25.3%
Draw
24.7%
JDFS Alberts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
Riga FC II
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.7%
Win probability
JDFS Alberts
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Riga FC II
-19%
-5%
JDFS Alberts

Points and table prediction

Riga FC II
Their league position
JDFS Alberts
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
14º
28
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
JDFS Alberts
28
55
77%
Ogre United
26
47
29.5%
Rigas FS II
19
46
17%
Beitar/Riga Mariners
29
44
15.5%
JFK Ventspils
26
44
12.5%
Skanstes
19
43
20%
Riga FC II
12º
7
37
22%
FK Mārupe
19
36
12.5%
Leevon PPK
17
35
24%
Smiltene
16
34
10º
21%
Rezekne
10º
15
27
11º
25%
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
11º
10
24
12º
32%
AFA Olaine
14º
5
23
13º
34%
Augšdaugava
13º
6
15
14º
78.5%
Expected probabilities
Riga FC II
JDFS Alberts
Promotion
0% 77%
Promotion play-offs
0% 14%
Mid-table
99% 9%
Relegation play-offs
1% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Riga FC II
JDFS Alberts
Smiltene
Beitar/Riga Mariners
Augšdaugava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Riga FC II
Riga FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jul. 2025
RIG
Riga FC II
1 - 0
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
TUK
73%
17%
10%
71 36 35 0
28 Jun. 2025
OUD
Ogre United
1 - 0
Riga FC II
RIG
25%
23%
52%
71 43 28 0
13 Jun. 2025
RIG
Riga FC II
2 - 2
JFK Ventspils
KFV
74%
17%
9%
71 46 25 0
25 May. 2025
PRA
AFA Olaine
1 - 1
Riga FC II
RIG
24%
23%
53%
71 43 28 0
18 May. 2025
RIG
Riga FC II
1 - 2
Leevon PPK
FSL
76%
16%
8%
71 34 37 0

Matches

JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2025
FKB
Beitar/Riga Mariners
4 - 2
JDFS Alberts
ALB
24%
25%
52%
68 37 31 0
12 Jul. 2025
ALB
JDFS Alberts
1 - 3
SK Super Nova
SUP
51%
23%
26%
69 66 3 -1
05 Jul. 2025
ALB
JDFS Alberts
0 - 0
Augšdaugava
AUG
71%
18%
11%
69 23 46 0
29 Jun. 2025
TUK
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
1 - 2
JDFS Alberts
ALB
25%
25%
51%
69 36 33 0
20 Jun. 2025
SKA
Skanstes
1 - 2
JDFS Alberts
ALB
21%
22%
57%
68 57 11 +1