Rieti vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RIE
6 - 1
FLA
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
RIE
27%
22%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SDT
3 - 5
RIE
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RIE
2 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VFC
1 - 0
RIE
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
VOL
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 0
SDT
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
VOL
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
VOL
3 - 1
PIA
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 0
VOL
83%
13%
4%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |