Rieti vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 1
BUD
84%
12%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
RIE
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RIE
5 - 1
NUO
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 4
RIE
11%
20%
70%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 3
TRA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
NUO
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OST
2 - 0
NUO
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 3
OST
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
OST
2 - 1
LAN
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OST
0 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |