Rieti vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 0
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 1
RIE
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 3
RIE
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 0
RIE
41%
26%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
3 - 3
SFF
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
SFF
2 - 2
APR
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
APR
3 - 0
VAS
32%
22%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
APR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
APR
0 - 5
REC
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -3 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 4
APR
18%
22%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |