SV Ried vs TSV Hartberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
12º
10º
18
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WIE
0 - 2
RIE
8%
15%
78%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIE
3 - 2
VOR
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIE
2 - 2
SKN
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
RIE
3 - 1
NSM
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
NPA
0 - 0
RIE
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Hartberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 2
ANN
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 3
TNV
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
2 - 1
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 1
SKN
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
AMS
5 - 2
HAR
16%
20%
64%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |