Ribelle vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ribelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 0
CLO
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
RIB
81%
15%
5%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 2
RIB
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
RIB
2 - 1
UAR
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
RIB
23%
22%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
MEZ
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 1
LEG
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MEZ
0 - 2
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
MEZ
83%
13%
4%
|
27 | 77 | 50 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MEZ
0 - 1
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |