Rhyl FC vs 1874 Northwich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rhyl FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RHY
1 - 2
GRE
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
RHY
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
4 - 1
RHY
15%
17%
69%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -3 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
RHY
7 - 1
LLA
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
RTW
1 - 2
RHY
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
1874 Northwich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WID
1 - 0
187
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
187
4 - 3
WOR
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +4 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 0
187
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
187
1 - 2
CLI
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
RAM
2 - 1
187
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |