Rhyl FC vs 1874 Northwich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rhyl FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
RHY
1 - 2
GRE
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
2 - 1
RHY
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
4 - 1
RHY
15%
17%
69%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -3 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
RHY
7 - 1
LLA
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
RTW
1 - 2
RHY
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
1874 Northwich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WID
1 - 0
187
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
187
4 - 3
WOR
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +4 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 0
187
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
187
1 - 2
CLI
21%
23%
56%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
RAM
2 - 1
187
18%
20%
61%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |