Perwez vs Ciney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perwez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JOD
0 - 3
RFC
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 3
SCH
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAP
0 - 2
RFC
27%
22%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RFC
3 - 0
RMO
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COU
1 - 3
RFC
19%
19%
61%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ciney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CIN
0 - 0
OST
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 3
CIN
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CIN
2 - 0
JEU
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AIS
2 - 2
CIN
62%
18%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CIN
1 - 1
ARQ
29%
21%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |