Gilly vs Solre-sur-Sambre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-102%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
7º
28
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 53 |
4º
|
83% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
83% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 28 |
14º
|
86% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
86% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SOI
3 - 4
RFC
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 2
RMO
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PER
3 - 3
RFC
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 1
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ANT
4 - 2
RFC
57%
20%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Solre-sur-Sambre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 4
FLE
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 2
SOL
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 1
LUI
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SOL
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 1
MOL
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |