Gilly vs Hornu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
68.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-101%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SOL
0 - 0
RFC
76%
14%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RFC
0 - 0
ASS
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RMO
2 - 0
RFC
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RFC
1 - 1
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LER
0 - 0
RFC
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hornu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 1
OLY
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 3
MOL
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SOL
3 - 3
HOR
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 1
ASS
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RMO
0 - 1
HOR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |