Revilla vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 1
REV
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
REV
2 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 3
REV
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
REV
1 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
REV
55%
25%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 0
SDT
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAM
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 3
SOL
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 1
SAM
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 1
TEX
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |