Revilla vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
REV
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
REV
2 - 1
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SOL
2 - 0
REV
33%
24%
43%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
REV
1 - 0
CDV
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
REV
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RIN
1 - 1
SDT
32%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
TEX
1 - 2
RIN
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
RIN
0 - 0
MIN
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
RIN
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RIN
0 - 1
NUE
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |