Revilla vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 0
REV
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
REV
2 - 1
ALB
40%
27%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 1
REV
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REV
1 - 1
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 2
REV
47%
25%
28%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAM
66%
22%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAY
22%
27%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CUL
4 - 2
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 0
SIE
61%
23%
17%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |