Reutlingen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
REU
4 - 1
KKA
82%
11%
7%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
REU
3 - 6
KSC
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
ROT
3 - 1
REU
88%
9%
4%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
REU
1 - 1
ROT
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1988 |
REU
2 - 1
HAM
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
SAA
4 - 0
ERF
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
ERF
1 - 3
LOK
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
SCF
6 - 0
ERF
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
ERF
2 - 1
S04
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 1991 |
ERF
0 - 5
M05
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |