Pernambucano 1 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Retro FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
RFC
86%
10%
4%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
RFC
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEC
0 - 4
RFC
1%
13%
86%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 2
RFC
1%
14%
84%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
NAU
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
RFC
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
RIV
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |