Retie vs Berg en Dal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
12º
6º
64
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Retie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RET
2 - 0
LOE
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RET
4 - 3
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SKS
2 - 1
RET
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RET
1 - 2
TIS
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GBA
4 - 0
RET
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Berg en Dal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BED
4 - 1
MAR
75%
17%
9%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RAN
2 - 1
BED
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 4
BED
4%
11%
85%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SKS
0 - 2
BED
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BED
0 - 1
DEK
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |