Renate vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
ASS
2 - 2
REN
64%
23%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
NOV
32%
30%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
JS2
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
REN
3 - 0
GOZ
61%
24%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
ASS
4 - 1
REN
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 2
LEO
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
2 - 0
PIA
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PER
0 - 1
SIE
8%
17%
76%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
1 - 1
ARZ
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SIE
2 - 0
PON
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |