Renate vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
44.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
GER
0 - 1
REN
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
FAN
39%
30%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
TER
2 - 2
REN
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
REN
1 - 0
ASG
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ABN
2 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 1
TER
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SSS
1 - 0
FCS
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCS
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
1 - 1
POR
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 4
FCS
49%
28%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |