Regua vs Mesão Frio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Regua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VPE
1 - 2
REG
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
FON
1 - 7
REG
8%
15%
77%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
REG
3 - 1
VAL
49%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CER
3 - 1
REG
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REG
2 - 0
RIB
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mesão Frio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MES
2 - 4
ABA
33%
23%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
MES
1 - 1
SCV
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MON
7 - 0
MES
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MES
4 - 1
SAB
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MES
2 - 1
NOU
74%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |