Reggina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
REG
2 - 3
RPO
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RPO
0 - 3
REG
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 2
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
REG
4 - 1
PIC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
REG
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
BIS
65%
21%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TER
4 - 3
CAS
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
MON
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 0
CAS
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |