Reggina vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
USF
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
CAS
1 - 0
REG
39%
22%
39%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
NAP
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
TER
0 - 1
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 1
CES
85%
10%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |