Redhill vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redhill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 1
RED
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
RED
2 - 1
HOR
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
MER
3 - 2
RED
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
RED
4 - 4
TOW
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 1
RED
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GUE
2 - 1
TOO
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
GUE
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 1
GUE
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
RAM
2 - 1
GUE
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GUE
2 - 1
WAL
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |