Red Star vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
RED
0 - 0
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
PER
2 - 0
RED
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
RED
1 - 4
AMI
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
CSL
0 - 4
RED
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
RED
2 - 0
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
TFC
0 - 0
MAR
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
POI
1 - 1
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
LOR
2 - 0
TFC
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 0
OLY
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |