Red Star vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
GAZ
2 - 1
RED
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
RED
1 - 0
AUX
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
RED
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
ASN
1 - 0
RED
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
RED
0 - 1
LHA
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRE
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 1
LOR
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
0 - 0
LOR
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 1
LOR
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |