Red Star vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 3
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
RED
2 - 1
USB
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 2
RED
30%
31%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
RED
3 - 0
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
RED
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 1
LUS
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 3
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
USB
2 - 1
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 2
CHA
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
ROD
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |