Red Star vs Juventus SA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
9º
10º
9º
13
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 1
RSG
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RSG
1 - 1
GOU
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ASD
1 - 1
RSG
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RSG
0 - 2
STL
53%
21%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RSG
0 - 0
JEE
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
CBM
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 1
JUV
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 2
VIE
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CER
2 - 1
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SSC
2 - 2
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |