Red Star vs Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CSM
2 - 0
RSG
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RSG
0 - 2
USB
57%
23%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ASR
0 - 2
RSG
40%
27%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
RSG
1 - 2
SSC
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PDC
0 - 0
RSG
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ETO
1 - 1
PDC
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 0
ETO
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ETO
0 - 0
SIR
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
CSL
0 - 0
ETO
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ETO
2 - 1
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |