Red Black Pfaffenthal vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
86.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.4%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Black Pfaffenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BWI
0 - 0
RBE
30%
23%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 3
UME
76%
15%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 2
RBE
42%
22%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RBE
1 - 0
ALI
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RBE
3 - 0
TBB
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
SWI
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
USM
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DIF
1 - 2
SWI
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 9
SWI
4%
11%
85%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SWI
8 - 1
FOL
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |