Red Arrows vs Lusaka Dynamos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
RED
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ZAN
2 - 0
RED
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RED
0 - 0
KAB
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MBL
1 - 1
RED
56%
24%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
LEO
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lusaka Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
NAP
0 - 1
LUD
41%
30%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
LUD
2 - 0
LUR
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
LUD
36%
31%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LUD
1 - 1
MUF
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
NKA
3 - 0
LUD
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |