Red Arrows vs Lumwana Radiants analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
RED
38%
32%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
ZES
2 - 0
RED
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MUF
1 - 1
RED
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
RED
1 - 0
NKA
43%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
RED
0 - 0
NCH
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lumwana Radiants
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
LUR
3 - 0
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
LUR
0 - 0
POW
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
LUR
32%
29%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
LUR
2 - 0
GRE
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
LUR
2 - 2
MUF
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |