Red Arrows vs Chambishi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 2
RED
51%
27%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
YAR
1 - 5
RED
55%
26%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RED
0 - 2
ZAN
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ROA
1 - 0
RED
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
RED
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chambishi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 0
ROA
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
CFC
43%
28%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
KAB
49%
27%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
CFC
1 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
KON
1 - 1
CFC
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |