Recas vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ESQ
3 - 0
REC
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
REC
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
REC
1 - 0
ATA
21%
22%
58%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
REC
1 - 0
TOR
67%
19%
15%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
REC
0 - 1
YUN
61%
21%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAG
6 - 2
VSA
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SAG
3 - 2
TRE
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
YEP
4 - 1
SAG
45%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAG
0 - 1
ESQ
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
SAG
71%
18%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |