Recanatese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
TER
3 - 0
REC
71%
19%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
REC
0 - 3
FOR
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
RCA
0 - 1
REC
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
REC
1 - 1
RIM
13%
24%
64%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
OLY
2 - 1
REC
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SSS
2 - 2
REA
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
SSS
26%
26%
49%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SSS
3 - 1
LUC
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ATE
1 - 1
SSS
27%
25%
47%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SSS
2 - 1
USV
75%
18%
8%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |