Recanatese vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
REC
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
REC
1 - 1
PIN
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SFF
1 - 2
REC
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
REC
3 - 1
UST
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
REC
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
SEL
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
4 - 0
UST
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 1
ASD
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 1
ASD
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |