Recambios Colón vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recambios Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LLO
1 - 1
REC
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
REC
0 - 1
ALB
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
REC
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
REC
1 - 2
MUR
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CDT
1 - 1
REC
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TAV
3 - 1
PEG
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
4 - 2
TCF
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEG
27%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALG
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |