Rebordosa vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
3º
49
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GON
1 - 0
REB
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ARO
5 - 0
REB
82%
14%
5%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
REB
3 - 1
GRI
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 1
REB
24%
24%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
REB
2 - 3
PER
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
LUS
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 0
LUS
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 1
ANA
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FAF
0 - 0
LUS
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |