Deportivo Aragón vs CE Manresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
15º
12º
51
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
68% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
45% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 43 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
87.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
40% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
17º
|
40% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SDF
3 - 1
ZAR
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 4
PXD
16%
24%
60%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
ZAR
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 1
CDE
22%
27%
52%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TER
3 - 2
ZAR
65%
22%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CE Manresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 0
OLO
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LLE
1 - 1
MAN
58%
25%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
TER
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 0
SAG
54%
26%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SDF
1 - 1
MAN
47%
27%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |