Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Real Unión Club vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
PON
0 - 0
RUN
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
RUN
2 - 1
RMC
36%
29%
35%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
RUN
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CAU
4 - 0
RUN
47%
30%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
RUN
4 - 0
PEG
51%
28%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJA
65%
23%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
RJA
0 - 1
CDT
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 1
RUN
81%
13%
7%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAL
1 - 1
RJA
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
RJA
2 - 2
ALA
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |