Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Real Unión Club vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SDA
3 - 1
RUN
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PON
0 - 0
RUN
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 0
RUN
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
RUN
2 - 2
RSO
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 2
RUN
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PON
2 - 0
BOI
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PON
0 - 0
RUN
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
COX
1 - 1
PON
17%
27%
56%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PON
0 - 1
SOM
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
SDT
0 - 1
PON
11%
21%
69%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | +1 |