Real Succes vs FC Sheriff II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
REA
2 - 3
FCD
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
REA
4 - 1
CFR
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAX
7 - 0
REA
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
REA
2 - 1
INT
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 1
REA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sheriff II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 5
FCS
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
FCS
2 - 3
FCD
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FCE
1 - 2
FCS
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FCS
8 - 0
LOC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GAG
0 - 0
FCS
22%
24%
55%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |