Real Succes vs FC Edinet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ZIM
5 - 0
REA
67%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
REA
0 - 1
GAG
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
REA
2 - 3
SAX
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
DIN
2 - 0
REA
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
REA
4 - 1
TIG
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Edinet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FCE
0 - 3
FCS
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MAI
0 - 2
FCE
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FCE
0 - 2
LOC
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TEL
3 - 2
FCE
16%
21%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCE
3 - 0
SIN
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |