Sporting Atlético vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 2
SPB
23%
22%
55%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SPB
3 - 0
NOI
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPB
45%
30%
25%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SPB
1 - 0
VDB
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
SIE
2 - 2
SPB
53%
27%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
AVI
1 - 0
GRA
64%
21%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
GIN
1 - 2
AVI
64%
20%
15%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AVI
4 - 1
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
LUG
3 - 0
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
AVI
6 - 0
ARO
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |