Primera B Clausura Normal Season Round 4

Real Cundinamarca vs Real Cartagena analysis

Real Cundinamarca Real Cartagena
58 ELO 63
-10.4% Tilt -5.4%
1298º General ELO ranking 737º
29º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
29.8%
Real Cundinamarca
27.7%
Draw
42.6%
Real Cartagena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
Real Cundinamarca
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.6%
Win probability
Real Cartagena
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Cundinamarca
+21%
-3%
Real Cartagena

Points and table prediction

Real Cundinamarca
Their league position
Real Cartagena
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
15º
15º
27
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fortaleza
39
43
100%
Cúcuta Deportivo
27
31
65%
Llaneros
27
30
21.5%
Real Cartagena
27
30
32%
Barranquilla
26
29
17.5%
Leones
24
27
41.5%
Atlético Fútbol Club
24
27
49.5%
Boca Juniors de Cali
22
23
91%
Patriotas Boyacá
21
21
0%
Real Santander
10º
21
21
10º
0%
Deportes Quindío
11º
18
18
11º
100%
Internacional de Palmira
12º
17
17
12º
100%
Bogotá
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Orsomarso SC
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Real Cundinamarca
15º
14
14
15º
100%
Tigres FC
16º
9
9
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
Next round
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Cundinamarca
Real Cundinamarca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
RSC
Real Cundinamarca
1 - 1
Barranquilla
BAR
42%
28%
30%
58 57 1 0
31 Jul. 2023
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
2 - 0
Real Cundinamarca
RSC
70%
20%
11%
58 73 15 0
23 Jul. 2023
RSC
Real Cundinamarca
0 - 0
Internacional de Palmira
COR
31%
27%
42%
58 62 4 0
10 Jun. 2023
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
2 - 0
Real Cundinamarca
RSC
53%
25%
22%
59 67 8 -1
07 Jun. 2023
RSC
Real Cundinamarca
1 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
19%
23%
58%
59 72 13 0

Matches

Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
CAR
Real Cartagena
3 - 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
BJC
67%
21%
12%
62 51 11 0
29 Jul. 2023
PAT
Patriotas Boyacá
0 - 0
Real Cartagena
CAR
47%
28%
25%
62 69 7 0
23 Jul. 2023
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 2
Barranquilla
BAR
58%
24%
18%
63 56 7 -1
11 Jun. 2023
CAR
Real Cartagena
0 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
37%
26%
36%
63 70 7 0
03 Jun. 2023
QUI
Deportes Quindío
2 - 2
Real Cartagena
CAR
47%
25%
29%
63 67 4 0