Real SC U19 vs Peniche U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
6º
3º
20
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real SC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RSC
2 - 0
LOU
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 3
RSC
11%
16%
74%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 2
CDF
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EST
0 - 3
RSC
7%
13%
80%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
RSC
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peniche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
SAC
82%
11%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CDF
1 - 1
PEN
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
6 - 0
EST
88%
9%
4%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
EPO
2 - 2
PEN
29%
22%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |