Real Santander vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 0
REA
61%
22%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
REA
2 - 2
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
REA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
REA
1 - 0
CAR
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
63%
22%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 1
UNI
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUN
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |