Real Santa Cruz vs Mariscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BLO
1 - 0
SAC
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 0
IBE
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BLO
1 - 1
SAC
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 0
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
JWI
1 - 2
MBB
60%
21%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
RPO
1 - 1
MBB
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
MBB
3 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
IBE
1 - 1
MBB
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2001 |
MBB
2 - 2
BLO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |