Real Noroeste vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 3
REA
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 1
REA
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
REA
0 - 1
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
REA
1 - 1
RVV
42%
23%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
EST
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 2
EST
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
DES
4 - 0
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 2
SER
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
ITA
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RVV
0 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |