Real Noroeste vs Estrela do Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 3
REA
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
REA
1 - 4
BOT
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
REA
5 - 0
ESP
59%
22%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
REA
1 - 2
RIO
35%
24%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
BOT
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
EST
4 - 2
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
EST
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |